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Macroprudential Commentary

An overview of current trends with an emphasis on cyclical risks. It supports decisions on the setting of the countercyclical capital buffer rate.

Publications, Macroprudential Commentary

Macroprudential Commentary – September 2025

The financial cycle continues to recover, driven mainly by the credit market. The upturn is not associated with an excessive build-up of risks. Nevertheless, uncertainty about the economic outlook, both domestically and abroad, remains elevated. Banks continue to be profitable and well capitalised. The countercyclical capital buffer rate is unchanged.

  • Macroprudential Commentary – June 2025

    Signs of recovery are now visible in multiple components of the financial cycle. The continuing gradual decline in interest rates has stoked demand for mortgage loans and corporate loans. Nevertheless, uncertainty remains heightened owing to trade policy developments, geopolitical risks, and weakening global demand.