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Macroeconomic model of RRE prices
| Date | Macroeconomic model | Macroeconomic model with interest rates remaining at their February 2022 level | Price of flats for sale |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/2006 | 786.807566 | 786.807566 | 665.016612 |
| 09/2006 | 778.112543 | 778.112543 | 691.799361 |
| 12/2006 | 774.079023 | 774.079023 | 775.611414 |
| 03/2007 | 766.973345 | 766.973345 | 883.115275 |
| 06/2007 | 757.480459 | 757.480459 | 997.165637 |
| 09/2007 | 755.639431 | 755.639431 | 1,114.618233 |
| 12/2007 | 775.976070 | 775.976070 | 1,235.277448 |
| 03/2008 | 802.864814 | 802.864814 | 1,311.522742 |
| 06/2008 | 803.938681 | 803.938681 | 1,282.691151 |
| 09/2008 | 819.413852 | 819.413852 | 1,233.885279 |
| 12/2008 | 847.160386 | 847.160386 | 1,166.730525 |
| 03/2009 | 941.750534 | 941.750534 | 1,093.737403 |
| 06/2009 | 975.729869 | 975.729869 | 1,041.919684 |
| 09/2009 | 1,011.261061 | 1,011.261061 | 1,015.441075 |
| 12/2009 | 1,035.056818 | 1,035.056818 | 1,009.668782 |
| 03/2010 | 1,000.147351 | 1,000.147351 | 1,008.546053 |
| 06/2010 | 1,026.167108 | 1,026.167108 | 1,013.427339 |
| 09/2010 | 1,033.862846 | 1,033.862846 | 1,005.654463 |
| 12/2010 | 1,035.579189 | 1,035.579189 | 1,008.228645 |
| 03/2011 | 1,001.590069 | 1,001.590069 | 1,030.971860 |
| 06/2011 | 998.854658 | 998.854658 | 1,014.509870 |
| 09/2011 | 1,005.226066 | 1,005.226066 | 1,001.470724 |
| 12/2011 | 970.153253 | 970.153253 | 994.282219 |
| 03/2012 | 1,015.445496 | 1,015.445496 | 983.932963 |
| 06/2012 | 1,045.581222 | 1,045.581222 | 981.884883 |
| 09/2012 | 1,110.489209 | 1,110.489209 | 979.104992 |
| 12/2012 | 1,063.843487 | 1,063.843487 | 980.239880 |
| 03/2013 | 1,080.507176 | 1,080.507176 | 980.407275 |
| 06/2013 | 1,093.917577 | 1,093.917577 | 974.904617 |
| 09/2013 | 1,107.098268 | 1,107.098268 | 987.377598 |
| 12/2013 | 1,114.780489 | 1,114.780489 | 965.206046 |
| 03/2014 | 1,127.597991 | 1,127.597991 | 972.067390 |
| 06/2014 | 1,137.411698 | 1,137.411698 | 968.334835 |
| 09/2014 | 1,142.902055 | 1,142.902055 | 977.973876 |
| 12/2014 | 1,199.527441 | 1,199.527441 | 972.613803 |
| 03/2015 | 1,239.732598 | 1,239.732598 | 981.471775 |
| 06/2015 | 1,261.054512 | 1,261.054512 | 1,001.766055 |
| 09/2015 | 1,281.046668 | 1,281.046668 | 1,033.650891 |
| 12/2015 | 1,323.688760 | 1,323.688760 | 1,045.973391 |
| 03/2016 | 1,370.699762 | 1,370.699762 | 1,074.525739 |
| 06/2016 | 1,416.735660 | 1,416.735660 | 1,083.725412 |
| 09/2016 | 1,421.836368 | 1,421.836368 | 1,123.914787 |
| 12/2016 | 1,448.008108 | 1,448.008108 | 1,147.029129 |
| 03/2017 | 1,444.108253 | 1,444.108253 | 1,190.805384 |
| 06/2017 | 1,475.175621 | 1,475.175621 | 1,228.560939 |
| 09/2017 | 1,510.842510 | 1,510.842510 | 1,240.921360 |
| 12/2017 | 1,524.214293 | 1,524.214293 | 1,256.529168 |
| 03/2018 | 1,539.762457 | 1,539.762457 | 1,300.979805 |
| 06/2018 | 1,553.949990 | 1,553.949990 | 1,320.961052 |
| 09/2018 | 1,611.626286 | 1,611.626286 | 1,348.660267 |
| 12/2018 | 1,630.384037 | 1,630.384037 | 1,399.211663 |
| 03/2019 | 1,660.089189 | 1,660.089189 | 1,461.995066 |
| 06/2019 | 1,718.635241 | 1,718.635241 | 1,481.895007 |
| 09/2019 | 1,796.420794 | 1,796.420794 | 1,504.759352 |
| 12/2019 | 1,780.966770 | 1,780.966770 | 1,545.008582 |
| 03/2020 | 1,761.052984 | 1,761.052984 | 1,620.004545 |
| 06/2020 | 1,677.669469 | 1,677.669469 | 1,625.192602 |
| 09/2020 | 1,756.665845 | 1,756.665845 | 1,639.363988 |
| 12/2020 | 1,819.010864 | 1,819.010864 | 1,695.566284 |
| 03/2021 | 1,836.752758 | 1,836.752758 | 1,866.391010 |
| 06/2021 | 1,947.696641 | 1,947.696641 | 1,849.477087 |
| 09/2021 | 2,049.310294 | 2,049.310294 | 1,990.163271 |
| 12/2021 | 2,097.598078 | 2,097.598078 | 2,146.499778 |
| 03/2022 | 2,069.761073 | 2,069.761073 | 2,335.666489 |
| 06/2022 | 2,039.694141 | 2,052.237028 | 2,482.157720 |
| 09/2022 | 1,941.710964 | 2,094.069950 | 2,478.490224 |
| 12/2022 | 1,836.592619 | 2,126.677998 | 2,380.729311 |
| 03/2023 | 1,733.729087 | 2,132.498126 | 2,319.000000 |
| 06/2023 | 1,683.594498 | 2,172.704740 | 2,258.000000 |
| 09/2023 | 1,639.465806 | 2,191.741726 | 2,233.264407 |
| 12/2023 | 1,672.246534 | 2,287.986793 | 2,294.701004 |
| Date |
Macroeconomic model of RRE prices
Individual components can be filtered by clicking on the chart legend.
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Methodology
This chart illustrates the difference between the supply market price and the estimated demand price resulting from selected factors. The most important factors determining demand are the total number of workers, their disposable income, the interest rate on housing loans or the stock of all household debt. The difference between the macroeconomic model and observed supply price shows the deviation of supply prices from selected fundamentals.